A New Approach to Epidemiological Models: From Pandemic Influenza to COVID-19

Explore a groundbreaking approach to epidemiological modeling in this seminar presented by Ana Cascon and William F. Shadwick at the Instituto de Matemática Pura e Aplicada. Delve into a new model developed from 170 years of epidemic data, capable of accurately predicting hospital requirements for Covid-19 and generating testable conjectures. Examine the model's relationship with seasonal influenza through numerous examples, and learn about its successful predictions of Covid-19 hospital admissions in England during four Omicron outbreaks since December 2021. Discover how this innovative approach challenges existing understanding of the 'Spanish Flu' pandemic and provides insights into China's early response to Covid-19 in 2020. Gain valuable knowledge about epidemiological modeling and its applications in predicting and managing disease outbreaks.

(04/11/2022) - Seminário Centro PI - Ana Cascon & William F. Shadwick