Society's Growing Vulnerability to Natural Hazards and Implications for Geophysics Research

Explore a comprehensive lecture from the 2010 AGU Fall Meeting's Frontiers of Geophysics series, delivered by Julia Slingo DSc, OBE, Chief Scientist of the United Kingdom Met Office. Delve into the increasing vulnerability of society to natural hazards and its implications for geophysics research. Examine case studies including the 2010 volcanic ash crisis, Pakistan floods, and Cumbria floods. Gain insights into risk assessment, uncertainty propagation, and the importance of seamless science in bridging gaps between different geophysical disciplines. Learn about advancements in observing and modeling natural phenomena, including volcanic ash dispersion and probabilistic forecasting techniques. Understand the challenges posed by an uncertain world and the shifting landscape of natural hazards in the context of geophysical research and societal preparedness.

Introduction
Welcome
Overview
Natural Hazards in 2020
Storm of the New Solar Cycle
We are increasingly vulnerable
Risk
Shifting Landscape
Uncertain World
Propagation of Uncertainty
Examples
Why was this a problem
Volcanic Ash Advisory Centres
What do we do
Volcanology
Ash
Observing Ash
Carrying Old Ash
Stratifying Ash
Forced Marriage
Dispersion Model
Particle Size Distribution
Probabilistic Forecasts
What we learnt
Pakistan Floods
Subtropical Jet
Ladakh
Seamless Science
Bridging the Gaps
The Cumbria Floods
cockermouth floods
Moorpath floods