Mathematical and Statistical Modelling in the Fight to Control Tuberculosis by Emma McBryde

Explore mathematical and statistical modeling techniques used in the fight against tuberculosis in this comprehensive lecture. Delve into the history, background, and current challenges of TB control. Examine various modeling approaches, including basic models, latency considerations, and mortality factors. Analyze simulations challenging traditional TB dogma and investigate disease endemic equilibrium scenarios. Learn about context-specific simulations for the Asia Pacific region and toy models. Gain insights into the application of mathematical and statistical methods in understanding and combating tuberculosis, with a focus on integrating experimental and clinical data to inform disease control strategies.

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Mathematical and Statistical modelling in the fight to control TuberculosisEmma McBryde 4th July 2019
M tuberculosis as causative agent for tuberculosis
Outline
Tuberculosis
Tuberculosis - History
Background
Model overview
Latency
Are we happy with our basic model
Mortality
What we don't know
Simulation: TB Dogma #3:
For the disease endemic equillibrium 1
For the disease endemic equilibrium 2
Simulation
Conclusions from this work
Context specific simulations:
Modelling of TB in the Asia Pacific Region
Toy Model
Questions