China's Emergence as a Second Nuclear Peer - Implications for US Nuclear Deterrence

Explore the implications of China's emergence as a second nuclear peer for US nuclear deterrence strategy in this 33-minute talk by Dr. Brad Roberts, director of the Center for Global Security Research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Delve into the findings and recommendations of a bipartisan study group addressing the challenges of deterring two nuclear peers simultaneously. Examine the risks of opportunistic aggression, the adequacy of US forces, and the impact on extended deterrence and arms control strategies. Gain insights into the study group's proposed solutions, including resetting the hedge, addressing surprises, and adapting extended deterrence practices. Learn about the importance of dual-capable aircraft, survivability concerns, and new approaches to arms control. Understand how to effectively communicate about the two-peer problem and its implications for global security.

Introduction
Opening remarks
Three main questions
The Two Peer Problem
The Implications
Implications for US Strategic Nuclear Forces
Recommendations
Reset the Hedge
Surprises
Extended Deterrence
Dual Capable Aircraft
Survivability
Arms Control Strategy
Our Recommendations
How to Talk About the Two Peer Problem
Summary
Observations